Archive for the ‘Politics’ Category

Timeline of the Santos Ramirez Scandal

Monday, February 16th, 2009

Here is the timeline of the scandal, loosely translated from a Bolivian blog, that is currently shaking the government of Evo Morales to its core:

Worse than Watergate

Friday, February 13th, 2009

With the revelation that the intellectual authors of the O’Connor robbery and murder have extensive links to multiple leaders of the governing party, including the president’s brother, it looks increasingly likely that the scandal will make the Watergate episode look like child’s play. There is no proof that Evo Morales was involved directly, and it is unlikely that it will ever be proven, but it is very hard to believe that he did not know that his closest collaborators were involved in bribery schemes up to their eyeballs. Read the scandal timeline to find out what I’m talking about.

¿Cuántos años más durará la presidencia de Evo Morales?

Friday, January 9th, 2009


What is ETA doing in Bolivia?

Monday, February 19th, 2007

The Spanish newspaper El País published yesterday a detailed account of the contacts between Basque activists linked to ETA and Bolivian government officials. Alvaro García Linera, the Bolivian vice-president, is one of the politicians who seem to have had several meetings with Basque envoys. The theory floating around is that ETA is looking for countries that might offer it sanctuary in case Cuba becomes less friendly once Fidel Castro dies. (Via Vitrina)

Tratados y Diplomacia

Sunday, August 27th, 2006

Prácticamente desde la fundación de Bolivia se ha tratado al servicio diplomático como una herramienta para recompensar a los correligionarios del gobierno de turno. El resultado para el país ha sido nefasto. Desde el tratado con Chile de 1904, por el cual perdimos acceso al mar a cambio de bagatelas, hasta las negociaciones actuales de libre comercio con Estados Unidos, es claro que nuestra diplomacia necesita estar en manos de profesionales de carrera. La evidencia más reciente del perjuicio que nos causa la falta de seriedad en la conducción de nuestra política exterior es ampliamente explicada por el columnista Humberto Vacaflor en su columna sobre el proyecto de ferrocarril Tacna-La Paz.

Este proyecto constituye una seria amenaza para la economía del norte de Chile, así que es obvio que Chile hará todo lo posible para que el proyecto no se lleve a cabo. Desafortunadamente para nosotros, Chile tiene un servicio diplomático de primera. Veremos si el gobierno de Evo es capaz de contrarrestar la oposición chilena y llevar adelante el proyecto.

Oil & Gas

Monday, August 14th, 2006

The Bolivian government announced today that it is temporarily suspending the nationalization of the oil and gas industry. The reason cited is a lack of funds for YPFB, the state oil company. I find it hard to understand how the government could have started such a controversial process without planning how the nationalization would be funded. I think Evo owes Bolivia an explanation.

Etcheverri, Moreno, and Evo Morales?

Monday, July 31st, 2006

Until today, the most famous Bolivian soccer players were Marco Antonio Etcheverri and Jaime Moreno. However, with the news that Evo Morales broke his nose playing soccer, I think our president has a shot at becoming even better known. Doesn’t the BBC have more important stuff to write about?

Not all privatizations are equal, or why Evo Morales became president

Sunday, July 30th, 2006

I’m reposting here a comment I made recently in the von Mises Institute blog. My comment was in response to a discussion about the policies that Evo Morales is pursuing. What I’m hoping to achieve is that people who are not very familiar with Bolivia’s history will understand a little bit better the context that resulted in the election of Evo. Here is what I wrote:

No comment about Evo Morales’ recent measures is complete until one considers how private companies like Repsol, Petrobras, and others acquired ownership of Bolivian oil and gas.

Up until the early 1990s, the state oil company (YPFB) controlled 100% of the oil and gas industry. As others have pointed out, YPFB was very inneficient and corrupt. The government of Gonzalo Sanchez de Lozada (GSL), with full support from the US, announced that it would “capitalize” the company as a way to solve all its problems.

Capitalization consisted of transferring 51% of its shares to newly created pension funds (which would fund the retirement of Bolivians), and selling 49% of YPFB to private investors.

So far so good. Sanchez de Lozada seemed to know what he was doing, and the “capitalization” process made sense. It would be a step in the right direction, for state ownership of the oil and gas industry had been a disaster. Unfortunately, the whole process was a sham.

Several government officials and close associates of GSL (and perhaps GSL himself) set up shell companies that acquired YPFBs assets at a huge discount. Enron got involved, acquiring a pipeline network using loan guarantees from the US Export/Import bank. Bolivians quickly realized that “capitalization” was synonimous with plundering.

I should also add that shortly after YPFB was dismantled, the private companies that acquired its assets started announcing major discoveries of gas. I’m sure that some of the discoveries were a legitimate result of their exploration and investment efforts. But in many cases, all proven years later, it turned out that some YPFB executives already knew about some of the huge gas reserves. They had passed confidential information to the private companies prior to YPFB’s assets being sold off. In fact, private companies had acquired the second largest natural gas reserves in South America for cents on the dollar.

As the economic situation in Bolivia continued to get worse, Bolivians started wondering how come none of GSL’s promises came to fruition. Several investigations were launched. An independent auditor discovered that the private companies were keeping at least two sets of accounting books. One that showed huge losses and thus minimized their tax exposure, and one that showed huge profits and thus made the companies attractive to private investors in Wall Street and other exchanges.

Ah! I should add that the special investigator appointed by the goverment died in a plane accident just as he was getting ready to go after Enron and other companies.

Anyway, the bottom line is that Bolivians became disgusted with GSL and booted him out of office. Evo’s promises of undoing everything GSL had done became hugely popular. In a country where most recent elections had been closely contested, Evo won with an absolute majority. His rise to power is a direct result of the corruption that has reigned in Bolivia for decades.

More on Evo Morales

Saturday, July 29th, 2006

Another project that my friend Rodrigo Peñaloza has worked on resulted in the Evo Morales interview now available in a British web site. I’m not very familiar with British television, but I found the interviewer’s style to be quite confrontational. At some point in the interview he asked Evo “Why do you hate the US?” Apparently, the idea that disagreeing with the policies of a country is the same as hating a country has reached the UK. Evo didn’t take the bait, fortunately.

Evo Morales on PBS

Saturday, July 29th, 2006

One of my friends from high-school has been providing logistical support to foreign journalists in Bolivia. The result of one of his projects, a very interesting report on Evo Morales, is available on the PBS web site.